by darryl » Tue Feb 28, 2012 3:23 am
Ok, I'm going to try and pull the various threads together here.
Presumingly that that you want to include observer as a covariate because you think some people are better at finding leopard cat sign that others, you need to set up the covariate so that it indicates which survey was conducted by each observer, not which detection was due to each observer. Have you set up your data such that each column represents a particular observer in each year? ie column 1 is detection data from observer 1, column 2 for observer 2, etc? If so, then you don't need to define a covariate for observer to include an observer effect in a model as, in your case, setting up a 'survey-specific p' model is saying that the detection probability is different for each column of data hence different for each observer. Of course if you haven't set your data up like that, then that won't work. If you've defined your observer covariate to indicate which observer detected the cats, that will go a long way to explaining your weird results as that covariate will only =1 when you had a detection, and will always =0 for a nondetection, so will perfectly correlate with your detection data. Do estimates look more reasonable for a model without the observer covariate?
How many detection in total were there for each season?
On your spatial correlation question, no-one has put together the model that you're looking for (that I'm away of), a multi-season, multi-method (or multi-observer) model with correlated replicate surveys (from the segments).